Comey's trial has been delayed AGAIN until January. After a long discussion with Chat GPT, I asked this: Short answer: DO YOU THINK HE WILL EVER GO TO TRIAL AND/OR GET JAIL TIME? Percentages?

Answer: My rough estimate, based on the current court record—not media coverage:

Chance Comey eventually goes to trial: 60%

Chance the case gets dismissed/resolved before trial: 40%

Chance Comey ultimately serves actual jail/prison time: 20–25%

Why the gap? The indictment is real and DOJ says it has evidence beyond the seashell photo, but Comey has several substantial pretrial challenges pending, especially the true-threat, suppression/Franks, and selective/vindictive-prosecution motions.

Even if the case reaches a jury, prosecutors still must prove the required threatening intent/state of mind beyond a reasonable doubt. And even a conviction doesn't automatically mean incarceration; sentencing would come afterward.

So, yes, I think trial is more likely than not. But from where things stand today, I would not bet that Comey ever actually spends time behind bars.

Then I asked what if it was me doing the same things Comey did?

Answer: For you, as an ordinary private citizen, doing the same alleged conduct Comey is charged with, my rough estimate would be:

Investigated/contacted by Secret Service/FBI: 95%

Federally charged: 60–75%

Actually going to trial if you fought the charge: 70–80%

Convicted: 45–60%

Serving some jail/prison time if convicted: 50–65%

Those are estimates, not statistics. DOJ records show ordinary defendants are routinely arrested and charged for presidential-threat cases, although many involve more explicit language than “86 47.”

I would not claim the evidence proves you would be treated more harshly than Comey solely because of who you are. But based on comparable prosecutions, your risk of being investigated and charged would be very high.